The military intervention by the United States and Israel in Iran is assessed by international law experts as clearly illegal, as no immediate threat was present. While political statements suggest a rapid victory, numerous assessments indicate the opposite development: the military position of the United States is considered weakened, regional allies are withdrawing, and American bases are losing security. At the same time, violence is escalating with attacks on civilian targets and cultural sites. Power dynamics in the region are shifting as Iran receives support from states such as Russia and China and announces strategic measures such as a possible blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, which could have global economic consequences.
In this context, the European Union is losing political influence and credibility. A double standard in dealing with international law is criticized, particularly through support for Israel and reluctance to pursue legal action against it. Growing tensions are emerging within Europe: several states are distancing themselves from the US line, while Germany appears increasingly isolated. At the same time, economic problems are intensifying due to energy crises, rising prices, and geopolitical conflicts. The prospect of Ukraine joining the EU is also viewed as potentially destabilizing for key policy areas such as agriculture.
In addition to foreign policy challenges, a structural crisis within Europe is also described. The entanglement of state and economy in sectors such as energy, defense, and pharmaceuticals is leading to a redistribution of resources at the expense of social spending. At the same time, there is a lack of a clear strategic direction for Europe’s role in an emerging multipolar world order. The need for a fundamental political restructuring toward greater sovereignty, democratic legitimacy, and a more neutral foreign policy position is being discussed in order to secure long-term stability and economic capacity for action. A possible EU accession of Ukraine would, according to this assessment, have significant effects on the European agricultural market and call existing regulatory standards into question.